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Solar payback

Solar Payback Calculator

With Section 25D repealed, most homeowner-owned solar systems now pay off in 10 to 16 years through pure energy savings.

25 kWh/100mi

7 kW
3 kW15 kW
Advanced inputs
$

Total system cost. Section 25D residential credit repealed July 2025.

$

Your home bill before adding EV charging

35 mi
10 mi150 mi
3 %/yr
0 %/yr8 %/yr
0.5 %/yr
0 %/yr2 %/yr
Solar payback

PAYS OFF IN6.8 years

A 7 kW system in California paired with 35 EV miles per day. With Section 25D repealed, this is pure energy-savings math, no federal tax credit.

31%
RECOVERED BY YR 10
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$2,681/yr
25 YR SAVINGS
$77,730 net
SYSTEM COST
$20,000 total
PAYBACK
6.8 yr
Heads up on federal credits. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed July 4, 2025 repealed the Section 25D residential solar tax credit. Homeowner-owned systems installed in 2026 and beyond get zero federal credit. Leased systems and Power Purchase Agreements may still claim the Section 48E commercial credit (30%) through 2027, and the installer may pass savings through your monthly payment. All math on this page assumes no federal credit.

Why EVs Accelerate Solar Payback

A solar panel system only generates savings by displacing electricity you would otherwise buy from the grid. Without an EV, your system offsets your home electricity bill, which is typically 800 to 1,200 kWh per month for an average American household. With an EV, you add another 250 to 400 kWh per month of electricity demand that solar can offset instead of purchasing from the utility. That is a meaningful increase in annual savings that directly shortens the payback period.

Consider a 7 kW system in California costing $20,000. Without an EV, it might generate $1,800 in annual savings, producing a 12-year payback (post-25D). With an EV driven 35 miles per day, savings jump to roughly $2,400 per year, cutting payback to about 9 years. Over 25 years, the difference in cumulative profit can exceed $15,000.

The Rate Escalation Factor

Utility electricity rates have risen an average of 3 to 4 percent per year in the United States over the past two decades. Because your solar panels are locked in at zero fuel cost, every year the grid gets more expensive, your solar savings increase. This compounding effect is especially powerful when combined with EV ownership. In year one you might save $2,400. By year 10, with 3 percent escalation, the same solar production displaces electricity that would cost over $3,200 annually.

Panel Degradation Is Minimal

Modern solar panels degrade at about 0.5 percent per year, which means after 25 years your system still produces 87.5 percent of its original output. This is almost negligible compared to the rate escalation benefit. The math strongly favors solar owners over time, especially those who maximize usage through EV charging.

What Replaced the Federal Credit

The Section 25D credit ended for homeowner-owned systems in 2026. If you want federal help on the cost, you need a lease or PPA, where the installer owns the panels and claims the Section 48E commercial credit (30% through 2027) on their side. Many installers pass some of that savings through as lower monthly lease or PPA payments. Beyond federal, several states still offer rebates, property tax exemptions, or net metering programs. Check your state energy office for what applies.

FAQ

Frequently asked

For most homeowners, solar payback now takes 10 to 16 years depending on system size, installation cost, local electricity rates, and sunlight availability. States with high electricity rates (like California, Massachusetts, and New York) and good sun (like Arizona and Nevada) see the fastest paybacks. The federal residential solar tax credit (Section 25D) was repealed by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, so homeowner-owned systems installed in 2026 and beyond rely entirely on energy savings for their ROI.

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